2020–21 United States Senate special election in Georgia

2020–21 United States Senate special election in Georgia
Reporting	98%as of January 9, 2021, 1:08 a.m. EST
	Map key; Warnock: 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%; Loeffler: 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% 90–100%; Collins: 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60%;
U.S. senator before election; Kelly Loeffler; Republican	Elected U.S. Senator ; Raphael Warnock; Democratic Party (United States)

Template:Elections in Georgia (U.S. state) The 2020–21 United States Senate special election in Georgia arose from the resignation of Republican Class III Senator Johnny Isakson, effective December 31, 2019. Governor Brian Kemp appointed Republican Kelly Loeffler to serve as Isakson's interim replacement, effective January 6, 2020, and she has held that seat since. The election was held concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as with other elections to the Senate, elections to the U.S. House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The winner would serve out the balance of Isakson's third term, which ends on January 3, 2023.

In accordance with Georgia law, a primary election for the special election did not take place; all candidates, regardless of party, were placed on the same ballot (known as a nonpartisan blanket primary), and the election was held on November 3, 2020. Democrat Raphael Warnock received the most votes with 32.9%, and Loeffler came in second with 25.9%. As no candidate received more than 50% of the vote, the top two candidates advanced to a runoff election, which took place on January 5.^[4]

The runoff election was held concurrently with the regular Class II election for the Georgia U.S. Senate seat held by Republican David Perdue and challenged by Jon Ossoff, which had also advanced to the runoff stage. Following the 2020 U.S. Senate elections, Republicans held 50 Senate seats and the Democratic caucus held 48, including two independents who caucus with the Democrats. The two runoff elections decided the balance of the United States Senate under the incoming Biden administration. In the event that the Democrats won both seats, Democratic vice president-elect Kamala Harris's tiebreaking vote would give the Democrats a majority. The extraordinarily high political stakes caused the races to attract significant attention, both nationwide and globally.

Major media outlets, including Decision Desk HQ, the Associated Press, The New York Times, and NBC News, called the election for Warnock in the early hours of January 6, just minutes after he apparently declared victory. Loeffler refused to concede and initially vowed to challenge the results after she returned from Washington for the electoral vote certification.^[5] She later conceded on January 7.^[6] By a matter of a few hours, Warnock became the first Democrat to be elected to the U.S. Senate from Georgia since Zell Miller in the 2000 special election. He is the first ever African-American senator from Georgia, as well as the first African-American Democrat from the South to be elected to the Senate.^[7] Hours later, Ossoff was called as the winner of the regular Senate election, effectively giving the Democrats control of the Senate.^[8]^[9]

Background[edit source | edit]

On August 28, 2019, Isakson announced that he would resign from the Senate effective December 31 due to his deteriorating health.^[10] This triggered a special election to fill the remainder of his term. On September 17, Georgia Governor Brian Kemp launched a website inviting Georgia citizens to submit their résumés in order to be considered for appointment.^[11] President Donald Trump advocated the appointment of Rep. Doug Collins.^[12] Kemp appointed Republican Kelly Loeffler to fill the seat until the 2020 special election; she took office on January 6, 2020.^[13]

Candidates[edit source | edit]

Democratic Party[edit source | edit]

Despite the large number of candidates in the special election, by October 4, 2020, the Democratic Party had largely consolidated around Raphael Warnock's candidacy, and had pressured other Democratic candidates such as Matt Lieberman to drop out to avoid vote-splitting.^[14]

Advanced to runoff[edit source | edit]

Raphael Warnock, senior pastor of Ebenezer Baptist Church^[15]^[16]

Eliminated[edit source | edit]

Deborah Jackson, former mayor of Lithonia and attorney^[17]
Jamesia James, businesswoman and U.S. Air Force veteran^[17]
Tamara Johnson-Shealey, businesswoman and frequent candidate^[17]
Matt Lieberman, businessman, activist, and son of Joe Lieberman, former U.S. Senator from Connecticut^[18]
Joy Felicia Slade, physician^[17]
Ed Tarver, former United States Attorney for the Southern District of Georgia and former state senator^[19]^[20]
Richard Dien Winfield, professor and candidate for Georgia's 10th congressional district in 2018^[21]

Declined[edit source | edit]

Stacey Abrams, nominee for Governor of Georgia in 2018 and former minority leader of the Georgia House of Representatives (endorsed Raphael Warnock)^[22]
Sherry Boston, DeKalb County District Attorney^[22]^[23]
Jason Carter, nominee for Governor of Georgia in 2014, former state senator, and grandson of former U.S. President Jimmy Carter (endorsed Raphael Warnock)^[24]
Stacey Evans, candidate for Governor of Georgia in 2018 and former state representative (running for state house)^[25]
Jen Jordan, state senator^[26]^[27]
Lucy McBath, incumbent U.S. Representative for Georgia's 6th congressional district (running for re-election)^[28]
Michelle Nunn, CEO of CARE USA and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2014; daughter of former Senator Sam Nunn.^[29]
Jon Ossoff, documentary filmmaker and nominee for Georgia's 6th congressional district in 2017 (became Democratic senator for the Class 2 seat)^[30]
Mike Thurmond, DeKalb County chief executive, former Labor Commissioner of Georgia, and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2010^[26]
Teresa Tomlinson, former mayor of Columbus (ran in the Democratic primary for the Class 2 seat)^[31]^[32]
Nikema Williams, state senator and Chair of the Georgia Democratic Party^[28]
Sally Yates, former United States Deputy Attorney General^[33]^[34]

Template:Endorsements box Template:Endorsements box

Republican Party[edit source | edit]

Advanced to runoff[edit source | edit]

Kelly Loeffler, incumbent U.S. Senator^[35]

Eliminated[edit source | edit]

Doug Collins, incumbent U.S. Representative for Georgia's 9th congressional district^[36]
Derrick Grayson, minister, network engineer, software developer, perennial candidate, U.S. Navy veteran^[17]
Annette Davis Jackson, businesswoman, 2016 Republican candidate for Georgia State Senate^[17]
Kandiss Taylor, student services coordinator for Appling County Board of Education^[37]

Withdrawn[edit source | edit]

Ervan Katari Miller, perennial candidate^[38]^[39]
Wayne Johnson, former chief operating officer of the Office of Federal Student Aid^[40] (remained on ballot)

Declined[edit source | edit]

Nick Ayers, former chief of staff to Vice President Mike Pence^[41]
Ashley Bell, regional administrator for the Small Business Administration^[42]
Paul Broun, former U.S. Representative for Georgia's 10th congressional district^[43]
Buddy Carter, incumbent U.S. Representative for Georgia's 1st congressional district^[44]
Geoff Duncan, incumbent Lieutenant Governor of Georgia^[45]
Stuart Frohlinger, finance expert^[46]^[47]
Tom Graves, incumbent U.S. Representative for Georgia's 14th congressional district^[45]
Karen Handel, former U.S. Representative and former Georgia Secretary of State (running for Georgia's 6th congressional district)^[48]
Scott Hilton, former state representative (endorsed Loeffler)^[49]
Jan Jones, Speaker pro tempore of the Georgia House of Representatives^[50]
Brian Kemp, incumbent Governor of Georgia^[51] (endorsed Loeffler)^[52]
Butch Miller, state senator^[53]
B. J. Pak, United States Attorney for the Northern District of Georgia and former state representative^[43]
Sonny Perdue, United States Secretary of Agriculture and former Governor of Georgia^[53]
Tom Price, former United States Secretary of Health and Human Services and former U.S. Representative for Georgia's 6th congressional district^[54]

Template:Endorsements box Template:Endorsements box

Libertarian Party[edit source | edit]

Declared[edit source | edit]

Brian Slowinski, Republican candidate for Georgia's 10th congressional district in 2014^[55]

Green Party[edit source | edit]

Declared[edit source | edit]

John "Green" Fortuin^[39]

Independents[edit source | edit]

Declared[edit source | edit]

Al Bartell, businessman, former Republican and Vietnam-era Air Force veteran^[56]^[57]^[58]
Allen Buckley, attorney, accountant, Libertarian nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2004, 2008, 2016 and nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Georgia in 2006
Michael Todd Greene^[59]^[39]
Rod Mack (as a write-in candidate), member of the City of Hapeville Board of Appeals and candidate in the 2018 Georgia gubernatorial election^[39]
Valencia Stovall, state representative^[39]

Special election[edit source | edit]

Polling[edit source | edit]

Jungle primary[edit source | edit]

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 1]}	Margin of error	Doug Collins (R)	Matt Lieberman (D)	Kelly Loeffler (R)	Ed Tarver (D)	Raphael Warnock (D)	Other	Undecided
Landmark Communications	November 1, 2020	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	24%	5%	27%	1%	38%	1%^{[lower-alpha 2]}	3%
Data for Progress	October 27 – November 1, 2020	1,036 (LV)	± 3%	21%	8%	26%	3%	41%	1%^{[lower-alpha 3]}	–
Emerson College	October 29–31, 2020	749 (LV)	± 3.5%	27%^{[lower-alpha 4]}	8%	24%	2%	38%	2%^{[lower-alpha 5]}	–
Landmark Communications	October 28, 2020	750 (LV)	± 3.6%	23%	9%	25%	1%	37%	2%^{[lower-alpha 6]}	3%
Public Policy Polling	October 27–28, 2020	661 (V)	–	19%	2%	27%	0%	46%	2%^{[lower-alpha 7]}	4%
Monmouth University	October 23–27, 2020	504 (RV)	± 4.4%	18%	4%	21%	3%	41%	7%^{[lower-alpha 8]}	6%
		504 (LV)^{[lower-alpha 9]}		19%	–	22%	–	41%	–	–
		504 (LV)^{[lower-alpha 10]}		20%	–	22%	–	42%	–	–
Civiqs/Daily Kos	October 23–26, 2020	1,041 (LV)	± 3.3%	23%	2%	22%	1%	48%	2%^{[lower-alpha 11]}	2%
University of Georgia	October 14–23, 2020	1,145 (LV)	± 4%	21%	4%	20%	1%	34%	5%^{[lower-alpha 12]}	14%
Landmark Communications	October 21, 2020	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	27%	–	24%	–	33%	–	–
Citizen Data	October 17–20, 2020	1,000 (LV)	± 3%	19%	4%	23%	1%	41%	3%	10%
Emerson College	October 17–19, 2020	506 (LV)	± 4.3%	27%	12%	20%	2%	27%	2%^{[lower-alpha 13]}	12%
Siena College/NYT Upshot	October 13–19, 2020	759 (LV)	± 4.1%	17%	7%	23%	2%	32%	1%^{[lower-alpha 14]}	18%^{[lower-alpha 15]}
Opinion Insight (R)Template:Efn-ua	October 12–15, 2020	801 (LV)	± 3.46%	18%^{[lower-alpha 16]}	3%	19%	1%	31%	14%^{[lower-alpha 17]}	18%^{[lower-alpha 18]}
Quinnipiac University	October 8–12, 2020	1,040 (LV)	± 3.0%	22%	5%	20%	2%	41%	0%^{[lower-alpha 19]}	9%
SurveyUSA	October 8–12, 2020	677 (LV)	± 5.7%	20%	8%	26%	3%	30%	2%^{[lower-alpha 20]}	12%
Data for Progress	October 8–11, 2020	782 (LV)	± 3.5%	22%	10%	22%	–	30%	17%^{[lower-alpha 21]}	–
Public Policy Polling	October 8–9, 2020	528 (V)	± 4.3%	22%	3%	24%	0%	41%	2%^{[lower-alpha 22]}	8%
Landmark Communications	October 7, 2020	600 (LV)	± 4%	23%	3%	26%	0%	36%	4%^{[lower-alpha 23]}	8%
University of Georgia	September 27 – October 6, 2020	1,106 (LV)	± 2.9%	21%	3%	22%	4%	28%	3%^{[lower-alpha 24]}	19%
Civiqs/Daily Kos	September 26–29, 2020	969 (LV)	± 3.5%	25%	5%	21%	2%	38%	1%^{[lower-alpha 25]}	7%
Hart Research Associates (D)Template:Efn-ua	September 24–27, 2020	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	21%	8%^{[lower-alpha 26]}	28%	3%	28%	–	–
Quinnipiac University	September 23–27, 2020	1,125 (LV)	± 2.9%	22%	9%	23%	4%	31%	0%^{[lower-alpha 27]}	12%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	September 23–26, 2020	789 (LV)	± 3.49%	16%	16%	25%	–	26%	3%^{[lower-alpha 28]}	14%
Monmouth University	September 17–21, 2020	402 (RV)	± 4.9%	22%	11%	23%	4%	21%	6%^{[lower-alpha 29]}	13%
		402 (LV)^{[lower-alpha 9]}		23%	11%	23%	3%	23%	5%^{[lower-alpha 30]}	12%
		402 (LV)^{[lower-alpha 10]}		24%	9%	23%	2%	25%	4%^{[lower-alpha 31]}	12%
Siena College/NYT Upshot	September 16–21, 2020	523 (LV)	± 4.9%	19%	7%	23%	4%	19%	1%^{[lower-alpha 32]}	Template:Party shading/Undecided\|27%^{[lower-alpha 33]}
University of Georgia	September 11–20, 2020	1,150 (LV)	± 4.0%	21%	11%	24%	5%	20%	4%^{[lower-alpha 34]}	16%
Data For Progress (D)	September 14–19, 2020	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	22%	14%	21%	–	26%	–	17%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	September 12–17, 2020	800 (LV)	± 3.46%	19%	15%	26%	–	21%	5%^{[lower-alpha 35]}	15%
GBAO Strategies (D)Template:Efn-ua	September 14–16, 2020	600 (LV)	± 4%	19%	11%	29%	5%	25%	–	–
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates Template:Efn-ua	August 30 – September 5, 2020	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	20%	10%	24%	7%	19%	1%^{[lower-alpha 36]}	19%
Opinion Insight (R)Template:Efn-ua	August 30 – September 2, 2020	800 (LV)	± 3.46%	20%^{[lower-alpha 37]}	4%	17%	1%	17%	13%^{[lower-alpha 38]}	Template:Party shading/Undecided\|27%
HarrisX (D)Template:Efn-ua	August 20–30, 2020	1,616 (RV)	± 2.4%	21%	13%	26%	7%	16%	18%^{[lower-alpha 39]}	–
SurveyUSA	August 6–8, 2020	623 (LV)	± 5.3%	17%	13%	26%	3%	17%	2%^{[lower-alpha 40]}	Template:Party shading/Undecided\|21%
HIT Strategies (D)Template:Efn-ua	July 23–31, 2020	400 (RV)	± 4.9%	18%	14%	22%	6%	14%	1%^{[lower-alpha 41]}	Template:Party shading/Undecided\|23%
Monmouth University	July 23–27, 2020	402 (RV)	± 4.9%	20%	14%	26%	5%	9%	8%^{[lower-alpha 42]}	18%
		402 (LV)^{[lower-alpha 9]}		21%	14%	26%	5%	10%	6%^{[lower-alpha 43]}	17%
		402 (LV)^{[lower-alpha 10]}		22%	13%	26%	4%	10%	6%^{[lower-alpha 44]}	19%
Spry Strategies (R)Template:Efn-ua	July 11–16, 2020	700 (LV)	± 3.7%	20%	23%	19%	9%	–	–	20%
GBAO Strategies (D)Template:Efn-ua	July 6–9, 2020	600 (LV)	–	26%	19%	21%	9%	16%	–	–
Battleground Connect (R)Template:Efn-ua	July 6–8, 2020	600 (LV)	± 4%	26%	15%	17%	5%	10%	2%^{[lower-alpha 45]}	Template:Party shading/Undecided\|26%
Gravis Marketing (R)Template:Efn-ua	July 2, 2020	513 (LV)	± 4.3%	26%	11%	24%	9%	18%	–	12%
Public Policy Polling (D)Template:Efn-ua	June 25–26, 2020	734 (RV)	± 3.6%	23%	11%	21%	3%	20%	–	Template:Party shading/Undecided\|22%
MRG (D)Template:Efn-ua	June 18–23, 2020	1,259 (LV)	–	27%	13%	21%	–	23%	5%^{[lower-alpha 46]}	12%
Civiqs/Daily Kos	May 16–18, 2020	1,339 (RV)	± 3.1%	34%	14%	12%	6%	18%	4%^{[lower-alpha 47]}	12%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)	May 4–7, 2020	500 (LV)	± 4.38%	19%	17%	18%	–	9%	11%^{[lower-alpha 48]}	Template:Party shading/Undecided\|26%
Cygnal (R)Template:Efn-ua	April 25–27, 2020	591 (LV)	± 4.0%	29%	12%	11%	4%	11%	2%^{[lower-alpha 49]}	Template:Party shading/Undecided\|31%
Battleground Connect (R)Template:Efn-ua	March 31 – April 1, 2020	1,035 (LV)	± 3.01%	36%	11%	13%	3%	16%	4%^{[lower-alpha 50]}	Template:Party shading/Undecided\|17%
Battleground Connect (R)Template:Efn-ua	March 24, 2020	1,025 (LV)^{[lower-alpha 51]}	–	34%	18%	14%	5%	13%	–	15%
Battleground Connect (R)Template:Efn-ua	March 21, 2020	1,025 (LV)^{[lower-alpha 52]}	–	32%	19%	15%	5%	12%	–	18%
Battleground Connect (R)Template:Efn-ua	March 12, 2020	1,025 (LV)^{[lower-alpha 53]}	–	30%	18%	19%	5%	10%	–	18%
Battleground Connect (R)Template:Efn-ua	March 7, 2020	1,025 (LV)^{[lower-alpha 54]}	–	29%	16%	20%	5%	12%	–	18%
University of Georgia	February 24 – March 2, 2020	1,117 (LV)	± 2.9%	21%	11%	19%	4%	6%	8%^{[lower-alpha 55]}	Template:Party shading/Undecided \| 31%
Battleground Connect (R)Template:Efn-ua	February 26–27, 2020	1,050 (LV)	± 3.0%	28%	5%	20%	3%	13%	–	Template:Party shading/Undecided \| 31%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)Template:Efn-ua	February 17–20, 2020	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	19%	18%	20%	–^{[lower-alpha 56]}	–	7%^{[lower-alpha 57]}	Template:Party shading/Undecided \| 21%
	January 30, 2020	Warnock announces his candidacy
	January 29, 2020	Collins announces his candidacy
	January 10, 2020	Tarver announces his candidacy
McLaughlin & Associates (R)Template:Efn-ua	December 16–18, 2019	600 (LV)	–	32%	42%	11%	–	—	—	16%

Predictions[edit source | edit]

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[60]	Template:USRaceRating	October 13, 2020
Inside Elections^[61]	Template:USRaceRating	December 14, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[62]	Template:USRaceRating	October 8, 2020
Daily Kos^[63]	Template:USRaceRating	October 30, 2020
Politico^[64]	Template:USRaceRating	September 9, 2020
RCP^[65]	Template:USRaceRating	September 27, 2020
Niskanen^[66]	Template:USRaceRating	September 15, 2020
DDHQ^[67]	Template:USRaceRating	October 27, 2020
FiveThirtyEight^[68]	Template:USRaceRating	October 28, 2020
Economist^[69]	Template:USRaceRating	October 28, 2020

Results[edit source | edit]

Since no candidate won a majority of the vote on November 3, the top two finishers—Republican incumbent Kelly Loeffler and Democrat Raphael Warnock—advanced to a January 5, 2021 runoff election.^[70]^[71]

2020–21 United States Senate special election in Georgia^[72]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Raphael Warnock	1,617,035	32.90
	Republican	Kelly Loeffler (incumbent)	1,273,214	25.91
	Republican	Doug Collins	980,454	19.95
	Democratic	Deborah Jackson	324,118	6.60
	Democratic	Matt Lieberman	136,021	2.77
	Democratic	Tamara Johnson-Shealey	106,767	2.17
	Democratic	Jamesia James	94,406	1.92
	Republican	Derrick Grayson	51,592	1.05
	Democratic	Joy Felicia Slade	44,945	0.91
	Republican	Annette Davis Jackson	44,335	0.90
	Republican	Kandiss Taylor	40,349	0.82
	Republican	Wayne Johnson (withdrawn)	36,176	0.74
style="background-color: Template:Libertarian Party (US)/meta/color; width: 2px;" \|	[[Libertarian Party (US)\|Template:Libertarian Party (US)/meta/shortname]]	Brian Slowinski	35,431	0.72
	Democratic	Richard Dien Winfield	28,687	0.58
	Democratic	Ed Tarver	26,333	0.54
style="background-color: Template:Independent (US)/meta/color; width: 2px;" \|	[[Independent (US)\|Template:Independent (US)/meta/shortname]]	Allen Buckley	17,954	0.37
style="background-color: Template:Green Party (US)/meta/color; width: 2px;" \|	[[Green Party (US)\|Template:Green Party (US)/meta/shortname]]	John Fortuin	15,293	0.31
style="background-color: Template:Independent (US)/meta/color; width: 2px;" \|	[[Independent (US)\|Template:Independent (US)/meta/shortname]]	Al Bartell	14,640	0.30
style="background-color: Template:Independent (US)/meta/color; width: 2px;" \|	[[Independent (US)\|Template:Independent (US)/meta/shortname]]	Valencia Stovall	13,318	0.27
style="background-color: Template:Independent (US)/meta/color; width: 2px;" \|	[[Independent (US)\|Template:Independent (US)/meta/shortname]]	Michael Todd Greene	13,293	0.27
Total votes			4,914,361	100.0

Runoff[edit source | edit]

The runoff election for Isakson's former seat occurred on January 5, 2021. The runoff election for the Georgia U.S. Senate seat held by Republican David Perdue was also decided in a January 5 runoff. Prior to the Georgia runoff in the 2020 U.S. Senate elections, Republicans held 50 Senate seats and the Democratic caucus held 48.^[73] Warnock declared victory on January 6, 2021.^{[citation needed]} If Democrats won the other Georgia runoff held on January 5, their caucus gained control of the Senate, as the resultant 50–50 tie could be broken by Democratic vice president-elect Kamala Harris. If they lost the second race, Republicans retained Senate control.^[74] The high political stakes caused the races to attract significant attention nationwide.^[75]^[76]^[77] They were the third and fourth Senate runoff elections to be held in Georgia since runoffs were first mandated in 1964, following runoffs in 1992^{[citation needed]} and 2008.^[78] It was also the third time that both of Georgia's Senate seats have been up for election at the same time, following double-barrel elections in 1914 and 1932.^{[citation needed]} The Associated Press and other major news outlets called the race for Warnock in the early morning hours of January 6.^[79] Warnock's win was attributed to a heavy black voter turnout in the runoff.^[80]

The deadline for registration for the runoff election was December 7.^{[citation needed]} Absentee ballots for the runoff election were sent out beginning on November 18, and in-person voting began on December 14.^[81]^[82]

Polling[edit source | edit]

Aggregate polls[edit source | edit]


Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kelly Loeffler Republican	Raphael Warnock Democratic	Undecided ^{[lower-alpha 58]}	Margin
270 To Win	December 16 – January 3, 2020	January 4, 2021	47.4%	50.2%	2.4%	Warnock +2.8
RealClearPolitics	December 14, 2020 – January 4, 2021	January 5, 2021	48.8%	49.3%	1.9%	Warnock +0.5
538	November 9 – January 4, 2021	January 4, 2021	47.2%	49.4%	2.2%	Warnock +2.2
Average			47.8%	49.6%	2.2%	Warnock +1.8

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 1]}	Margin of error	Kelly Loeffler (R)	Raphael Warnock (D)	Other	Undecided
Trafalgar Group	January 2–4, 2021	1,056 (LV)	± 2.9%	50%	48%	–	2%
AtlasIntel	January 2–4, 2021	857 (LV)	± 3%	47%	51%	–	2%
Insider Advantage	January 3, 2021	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	49%	49%	–	2%
National Research Inc	January 2–3, 2021	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	45%	46%	–	9%
University of Nevada Las Vegas Lee Business School	December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021	550 (LV)	± 4%	49%	48%	–	3%
Targoz Market Research	December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021	713 (LV)	± 3.7%	49%	51%	–	0%
Targoz Market Research	December 30, 2020 – January 3, 2021	1,342 (RV)	± 3.7%	48%	49%	–	3%
AtlasIntel	December 25, 2020 – January 1, 2021	1,680 (LV)	± 2%	47%	51%	–	2%
Gravis Marketing	December 29–30, 2020	1,011 (LV)	± 3.1%	47%	49%	–	3%
JMC Analytics and Polling	December 28–29, 2020	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	45%	54%	–	1%
Trafalgar Group	December 23–27, 2020	1,022 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%	–	1%
Open Model Project	December 21–27, 2020	1,405 (LV)	± 4.7%	50%	46%	–	4%
InsiderAdvantage	December 21–22, 2020	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	47%	49%	–	4%
Mellman Group	December 18–22, 2020	578 (LV)	± 4.1%	47%	50%	–	3%
Reconnect Research/Probolsky Research	December 14–22, 2020	1,027 (LV)	± 4%	42%	43%	–	15%
SurveyUSA	December 16–20, 2020	600 (LV)	± 5.1%	45%	52%	–	3%
Trafalgar Group	December 14–16, 2020	1,064 (LV)	± 3.0%	52%	46%	–	2%
Emerson College	December 14–16, 2020	605 (LV)	± 3.9%	51%	48%	–	1%
Wick	December 10–14, 2020	1,500 (LV)	–	50%	48%	–	2%
RMG Research	December 8–14, 2020	1,417 (LV)	± 2.6%	48%	49%	–	4%
InsiderAdvantage	December 4–11, 2020	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	49%	48%	–	3%
Baris/Peach State Battleground Poll	December 4–11, 2020	1,008 (LV)	± 3.1%	43%	48%	–	9%
Trafalgar Group	December 8–10, 2020	1,018 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	47%	–	3%
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates	November 30 – December 4, 2020	1,250 (LV)	± 3.2%	46%	47%	–	7%
Trafalgar Group	December 1–3, 2020	1,083 (LV)	± 2.9%	50%	45%	–	5%
SurveyUSA	November 27–30, 2020	583 (LV)	± 5.2%	45%	52%	–	2%
RMG Research	November 19–24, 2020	1,377 (LV)	± 2.6%	46%	48%	–	6%
Data for Progress	November 15–20, 2020	1,476 (LV)	± 2.6%	47%	50%	–	4%
InsiderAdvantage	November 16, 2020	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	49%	–	3%
VCreek/AMG (R)Template:Efn-ua	November 10, 2020	300 (LV)	± 5.6%	50%	46%	–	5%
Remington Research Group	November 8–9, 2020	1,450 (LV)	± 2.6%	49%	48%	–	3%
Following the first round of the special election on November 3, 2020, Warnock and Loeffler advanced to the runoff election as the top two candidates.
Monmouth University	October 23–27, 2020	504 (LV)	± 4.4%	45%	51%	–	–
Civiqs/Daily Kos	October 23–26, 2020	1,041 (LV)	± 3.4%	37%	51%	9%^{[lower-alpha 59]}	2%
Emerson College	October 17–19, 2020	506 (LV)	± 4.3%	42%	47%	–	12%
Siena College/NYT Upshot	October 13–19, 2020	759 (LV)	± 4.1%	41%	45%	–	14%^{[lower-alpha 60]}
Quinnipiac University	October 8–12, 2020	1,040 (LV)	± 3.0%	44%	52%	0%^{[lower-alpha 61]}	4%
Data for Progress	October 8–11, 2020	782 (LV)	± 3.5%	40%	44%	–	16%
Civiqs/Daily Kos	September 26–29, 2020	969 (LV)	± 3.5%	39%	49%	8%^{[lower-alpha 62]}	4%
Gravis Marketing (R)Template:Efn-ua	July 2, 2020	513 (LV)	± 4.3%	48%	37%	–	15%
Public Policy Polling (D)Template:Efn-ua	June 25–26, 2020	734 (RV)	± 3.6%	40%	43%	–	17%
Civiqs/Daily Kos	May 16–18, 2020	1,339 (RV)	± 3.1%	32%	45%	18%^{[lower-alpha 63]}	6%
Battleground Connect (R)Template:Efn-ua	March 31 – April 1, 2020	1,035 (LV)	± 3.0%	40%	41%	–	19%
The Progress Campaign (D)	March 12–21, 2020	3,042 (RV)	± 4.5%	38%	38%	–	24%

Hypothetical polling

Loeffler vs. Collins

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 1]}	Margin of error	Kelly Loeffler	Doug Collins	Undecided
Gravis Marketing (R)Template:Efn-ua	July 2, 2020	513 (LV)	± 4.3%	28%	34%	Template:Party shading/Undecided\|37%
Public Policy Polling (D)	December 12–13, 2019	711 (LV)^{[lower-alpha 64]}	—	16%	56%	27%

Loeffler vs. Lieberman

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 1]}	Margin of error	Kelly Loeffler (R)	Matt Lieberman (D)	Other	Undecided
Data for Progress	October 8–11, 2020	782 (LV)	± 3.5%	42%	41%	–	17%
Civiqs/Daily Kos	September 26–29, 2020	969 (LV)	± 3.5%	39%	39%	17%^{[lower-alpha 65]}	5%
Gravis Marketing (R)Template:Efn-ua	July 2, 2020	513 (LV)	± 4.3%	46%	39%	–	15%
Civiqs/Daily Kos	May 16–18, 2020	1,339 (RV)	± 3.1%	32%	44%	18%^{[lower-alpha 66]}	6%

Loeffler vs. Tarver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 1]}	Margin of error	Kelly Loeffler (R)	Ed Tarver (D)	Other	Undecided
Civiqs/Daily Kos	May 16–18, 2020	1,339 (RV)	± 3.1%	32%	43%	20%^{[lower-alpha 67]}	6%

Collins vs. Lieberman

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 1]}	Margin of error	Doug Collins (R)	Matt Lieberman (D)	Other	Undecided
Civiqs/Daily Kos	September 26–29, 2020	969 (LV)	± 3.5%	44%	38%	13%^{[lower-alpha 68]}	5%
Gravis Marketing (R)Template:Efn-ua	July 2, 2020	513 (LV)	± 4.3%	46%	37%	–	16%
Civiqs/Daily Kos	May 16–18, 2020	1,339 (RV)	± 3.1%	44%	44%	7%^{[lower-alpha 69]}	5%

Collins vs. Tarver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 1]}	Margin of error	Doug Collins (R)	Ed Tarver (D)	Other	Undecided
Civiqs/Daily Kos	May 16–18, 2020	1,339 (RV)	± 3.1%	45%	42%	8%^{[lower-alpha 70]}	5%

Collins vs. Warnock

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 1]}	Margin of error	Doug Collins (R)	Raphael Warnock (D)	Other	Undecided
Monmouth University	October 23–27, 2020	504 (LV)	± 4.4%	45%	52%	–	–
Civiqs/Daily Kos	October 23–26, 2020	1,041 (LV)	± 3.3%	42%	51%	5%^{[lower-alpha 71]}	2%
Emerson College	October 17–19, 2020	506 (LV)	± 4.3%	47%	48%	–	6%
Siena College/NYT Upshot	October 13–19, 2020	759 (LV)	± 4.1%	41%	45%	–	14%^{[lower-alpha 72]}
Quinnipiac University	October 8–12, 2020	1,040 (LV)	± 3.0%	42%	54%	0%^{[lower-alpha 73]}	4%
Civiqs/Daily Kos	September 26–29, 2020	969 (LV)	± 3.5%	44%	49%	4%^{[lower-alpha 74]}	4%
Gravis Marketing (R)Template:Efn-ua	July 2, 2020	513 (LV)	± 4.3%	47%	38%	–	15%
Public Policy Polling (D)Template:Efn-ua	June 25–26, 2020	734 (RV)	± 3.6%	43%	41%	–	17%
Civiqs/Daily Kos	May 16–18, 2020	1,339 (RV)	± 3.1%	44%	45%	6%^{[lower-alpha 75]}	5%
The Progress Campaign (D)	May 6–15, 2020	2,893 (LV)	± 2.0%	43%	41%	–	16%^{[lower-alpha 76]}
Battleground Connect (R)Template:Efn-ua	March 31 – April 1, 2020	1,035 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	36%	–	15%
The Progress Campaign (D)	March 12–21, 2020	3,042 (RV)	± 4.5%	41%	39%	–	20%

Loeffler vs. Broun

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 1]}	Margin of error	Kelly Loeffler	Paul Broun	Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)	December 12–13, 2019	711 (LV)^{[lower-alpha 77]}	—	27%	14%	Template:Party shading/Undecided\| 59%

Collins vs. Abrams

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 78]}	Margin of error	Doug Collins (R)	Stacey Abrams (D)	Undecided
The Progress Campaign (D)[1]	March 12–21, 2020	3,042 (RV)	± 4.5%	43%	47%	10%

Loeffler vs. generic opponent

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 1]}	Margin of error	Kelly Loeffler	Someone else	Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)	December 12–13, 2019	711 (LV)^{[lower-alpha 79]}	—	26%	30%	Template:Party shading/Undecided\| 44%

Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^{[lower-alpha 1]}	Margin of error	Generic Republican	Generic Democrat	Undecided
Quinnipiac University	September 23–27, 2020	1,125 (LV)	± 2.9%	48%	49%	3%

Results[edit source | edit]

Template:Election box winning candidate with party link Template:Election box total Template:Election box gain with party link no swing

2021 United States Senate special election in Georgia runoff
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±
	Republican	Kelly Loeffler (incumbent)

Election-related lawsuits[edit source | edit]

Republicans filed two federal and one state lawsuit in December to restrict the January 5 vote. On December 17, Judge Eleanor Louise Ross found that plaintiffs lacked standing based on possible future harm to toss out a consent decree regarding signatures on absentee ballot applications. Judge James Randal Hall threw out another case which tried to block the use of drop boxes for absentee ballots. A third lawsuit, to restrict the use of drop boxes, was heard in state court on December 24.^[83]^{[citation needed]}

On December 18, a federal judge threw out a Republican lawsuit alleging that out-of-state residents were voting in the runoff election, as Republican attorney Bill Price has recommended.^[84] Another lawsuit was filed against the use of voting machines manufactured by Dominion Voting Systems, alleging that election officials are handling mail-in absentee ballots improperly and illegally.^[85]

Judge Leslie Abrams Gardner, sister of Democratic politician Stacey Abrams, of the United States District Court for the Middle District of Georgia rejected the attempted purge of 4,000 voters in Muscogee County and Ben Hill County, Georgia on December 29. The ruling means the voters will be able to participate in the January 5 runoff election.^[86] The ruling was amended to allow provisional voting to prevent election-day challenges.^[87]

Notes[edit source | edit]

Partisan clients

Voter samples and additional candidates

↑ ^1.00 ^1.01 ^1.02 ^1.03 ^1.04 ^1.05 ^1.06 ^1.07 ^1.08 ^1.09 ^1.10 Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
↑ Slowinski (L) with 1%
↑ "Other candidate or write-in" with 1%
↑ With voters who lean towards a given candidate
↑ "Someone else" with 2%
↑ Slowinski (L) with 2%
↑ "Someone else" with 2%
↑ "Other candidate" with 4%; Slowinski (L) with 2%; "No one" with 1%
↑ ^9.0 ^9.1 ^9.2 With a likely voter turnout model featuring higher turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
↑ ^10.0 ^10.1 ^10.2 With a likely voter turnout model featuring lower turnout than in the 2016 presidential election
↑ "Someone else" with 2%
↑ Slowinski (L) with 3%; "Other Candidate" with 2%
↑ "Someone else" with 2%
↑ Would not vote with 1%
↑ Includes "Refused"
↑ With voters who lean towards a given candidate
↑ Bartell (I), Did not vote, Johnson (R), Johnson-Shealey (D) and "Someone else" with 2%; Dien Winfield (D) with 1%
↑ Includes "Refused"
↑ "Someone else" with 0%
↑ "Some other candidate" with 2%
↑ Includes Undecided
↑ "Someone else" with 2%
↑ Fortuin (G), Johnson-Shealey (D) and Taylor (R) with 1%; Bartell (I), Slade (D) and Stovall (I) with 0%; Buckley (I), Grayson (R), Greene (I), Jackson (R), James (D), Slowinski (L) and Winfield (D) with no voters
↑ Slowinski (L) with 2%; "Other candidate" with 1%
↑ "Someone else" with 1%
↑ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
↑ "Someone else" with 0%
↑ "Other Democratic Candidate" with 2%; "Third Party/Write-in" with 1%; "Other Republican Candidate" with 0%
↑ "Other candidate" and Slowinski (L) with 3%; "No one" with 0%
↑ Slowinski (L) with 3%; "Other" with 2%
↑ Slowinski (L) and "Other" with 2%
↑ Would not vote with 1%
↑ Includes "Refused"
↑ Slowinski (L) with 3%; "Other candidate" with 1%
↑ "Other Democratic Candidate" with 3%; "Another Third Party/Write-in" and "Other Republican Candidate" with 1%
↑ Would not vote with 1%; "Other candidate" with 0%
↑ With voters who lean towards a given candidate
↑ Johnson-Shealey (D) with 5%; Bartell (I), Dien Winfield (D) and Johnson (R) with 2%; "One of the other candidates" and would not vote with 1%
↑ Slowinski (L) with 5%; Johnson (R) and would not vote with 4%; "Another candidate/still undecided" with 3%; Winfield (D) with 2%
↑ "Some other candidate" with 2%
↑ "Third party candidate" with 1%
↑ "Other candidate" with 5%; Slowinski (L) with 3%
↑ "Other" with 4%; Slowinski (L) with 2%
↑ "Other" with 4%; Slowinski (L) with 2%
↑ "Someone else" with 2%
↑ "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
↑ "Someone else" with 4%
↑ All other candidates with 5% or less
↑ "Another candidate who qualified to run but isn't listed" with 2%
↑ Bartell (I) with 2%; Slowinski (L) with 1%; "someone else" with 1%
↑ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
↑ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
↑ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
↑ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
↑ Johnson (R) with 4%; Winfield (D) with 3%; Bartell (I) with 2%; "refused" with 0%
↑ Democratic candidates have 31% of the vote combined
↑ Bartell with 5%; Johnson (R) with 2%
↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
↑ "Someone else" with 9%
↑ Includes "Refused"
↑ "Someone else" with 0%
↑ "Someone else" with 8%
↑ "Someone else" with 18%
↑ Likely Republican primary voters, though there is no exclusively Republican primary for Georgia's special election
↑ "Someone else" with 17%
↑ "Someone else" with 18%
↑ "Someone else" with 20%
↑ "Someone else" with 13%
↑ "Someone else" with 7%
↑ "Someone else" with 8%
↑ "Someone else" with 5%
↑ Includes "Refused"
↑ "Someone else" with 0%
↑ "Someone else" with 4%
↑ "Someone else" with 6%
↑ Listed as "other/undecided"
↑ Likely Republican primary voters, though there is no exclusively Republican primary for Georgia's special election
↑ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
↑ Likely Republican primary voters, though there is no exclusively Republican primary for Georgia's special election

References[edit source | edit]

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↑ "The Reverend Raphael Gamaliel Warnock, Ph. D." African American Heritage House. Archived from the original on January 6, 2021. Retrieved November 7, 2020. CS1 maint: discouraged parameter (link)
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↑ Bluestein, Greg (January 10, 2020). "Ex-US Attorney plans to enter Senate race against Loeffler". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Archived from the original on January 7, 2021. Retrieved January 10, 2020. CS1 maint: discouraged parameter (link)
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↑ ^22.0 ^22.1 Edelman, Adam; Seitz-Wald, Alex (August 28, 2019). "Stacey Abrams rules out Senate run in Georgia after Isakson announces resignation". NBC News. Archived from the original on January 7, 2021. Retrieved August 28, 2019. CS1 maint: discouraged parameter (link)
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↑ Bluestein, Greg; Mitchell, Tia (February 7, 2020). "The Jolt: Tomlinson says of her Senate Democratic rivals — 'this isn't their race'". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Archived from the original on January 7, 2021. Retrieved February 7, 2020. CS1 maint: discouraged parameter (link)
↑ Bluestein, Greg. "Stacey Evans to mount a political comeback after gov run". Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Archived from the original on January 6, 2021. Retrieved January 26, 2020.
↑ ^26.0 ^26.1 "Who's thinking of running for Sen. Johnny Isakson's seat? The list is already long". Gainesville Times. Associated Press. September 18, 2019. Archived from the original on January 7, 2021. Retrieved September 19, 2019. CS1 maint: discouraged parameter (link)
↑ Arkin, James (January 10, 2020). "Democratic state Sen. Jen Jordan won't run in Georgia Senate special". Politico Pro. Archived from the original on January 7, 2021. Retrieved January 10, 2020. CS1 maint: discouraged parameter (link)
↑ ^28.0 ^28.1 Bluestein, Greg; Hallerman, Tamar (September 19, 2019). "Lucy McBath passes on Johnny Isakson's Senate seat". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Archived from the original on January 7, 2021. Retrieved September 19, 2019. CS1 maint: discouraged parameter (link)
↑ Nunn, Michelle [@MichelleNunn] (October 23, 2019). "Today I gathered with some of @CARE's most inspiring global leaders – from Syria to Somalia – working to end poverty and lift up women and girls everywhere. I shared that I am recommitting to #FightWithCARE and deferring any run for U.S. Senate. This chapter is for CARE!" (Tweet). Retrieved December 29, 2020 – via Twitter.
↑ Bluestein, Greg (September 9, 2019). "Ossoff to run for US Senate in Georgia". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Archived from the original on January 6, 2021. Retrieved September 9, 2019. CS1 maint: discouraged parameter (link)
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↑ ^39.0 ^39.1 ^39.2 ^39.3 ^39.4 "All seats up for grab". May 12, 2020. Archived from the original on January 6, 2021. Retrieved May 15, 2020. CS1 maint: discouraged parameter (link)
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↑ Hilton, Scott [@ScottHiltonGA] (January 28, 2020). "Sen. @kloeffler is the future of the GOP in GA. Sen. Loeffler is a strong conservative who will help expand our majority in GA. Our family is excited to support her this November! #TeamKelly #TeamKemp #KeepChoppin 🇺🇸🐘 t.co/I4EO18niIW" (Tweet). Retrieved December 29, 2020 – via Twitter.
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↑ Leon Stafford, The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. "Mitchell, Norwood to qualify for Atlanta mayor as Bartell drops out". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Archived from the original on January 6, 2021. Retrieved October 30, 2019.
↑ Kneiser, MJ (March 9, 2020). "QUALIFIED CANDIDATES FOR U.S. SENATE RACE LOEFFLER – FINAL". 92.1 WLHR. Archived from the original on January 7, 2021. Retrieved May 15, 2020. CS1 maint: discouraged parameter (link)
↑ "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 7, 2017. Retrieved September 20, 2019. CS1 maint: discouraged parameter (link)
↑ "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Archived from the original on January 6, 2021. Retrieved July 17, 2020. CS1 maint: discouraged parameter (link)
↑ "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on August 22, 2019. Retrieved August 28, 2019. CS1 maint: discouraged parameter (link)
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External links[edit source | edit]

"Georgia 2020 Purge List", SaveMyVote2020.org, Los Angeles, CA: Palast Investigative Fund, Check if you have been purged from the Georgia voter rolls
"League of Women Voters of Georgia". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
Elections at the Georgia Secretary of State official website
Template:Ballotpedia
Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Georgia", Voting & Elections Toolkits
National Institute on Money in Politics; Campaign Finance Institute, "Georgia 2019 & 2020 Elections", Followthemoney.org
Request a mail-in ballot at the Georgia Secretary of State website
Check to see if you are registered to vote at the Georgia Secretary of State website
Register to vote at Vote.org

Official campaign websites

Template:2021 United States elections

[key-60] 1.00 ^1.01 ^1.02 ^1.03 ^1.04 ^1.05 ^1.06 ^1.07 ^1.08 ^1.09 ^1.10 Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[61] Slowinski (L) with 1%

[62] "Other candidate or write-in" with 1%

[63] With voters who lean towards a given candidate

[64] "Someone else" with 2%

[65] Slowinski (L) with 2%

[66] "Someone else" with 2%

[67] "Other candidate" with 4%; Slowinski (L) with 2%; "No one" with 1%

[High-68] 9.0 ^9.1 ^9.2 With a likely voter turnout model featuring higher turnout than in the 2016 presidential election

[Low-69] 10.0 ^10.1 ^10.2 With a likely voter turnout model featuring lower turnout than in the 2016 presidential election

[70] "Someone else" with 2%

[71] Slowinski (L) with 3%; "Other Candidate" with 2%

[72] "Someone else" with 2%

[73] Would not vote with 1%

[74] Includes "Refused"

[75] With voters who lean towards a given candidate

[76] Bartell (I), Did not vote, Johnson (R), Johnson-Shealey (D) and "Someone else" with 2%; Dien Winfield (D) with 1%

[77] Includes "Refused"

[78] "Someone else" with 0%

[79] "Some other candidate" with 2%

[80] Includes Undecided

[81] "Someone else" with 2%

[82] Fortuin (G), Johnson-Shealey (D) and Taylor (R) with 1%; Bartell (I), Slade (D) and Stovall (I) with 0%; Buckley (I), Grayson (R), Greene (I), Jackson (R), James (D), Slowinski (L) and Winfield (D) with no voters

[83] Slowinski (L) with 2%; "Other candidate" with 1%

[84] "Someone else" with 1%

[85] Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight

[86] "Someone else" with 0%

[87] "Other Democratic Candidate" with 2%; "Third Party/Write-in" with 1%; "Other Republican Candidate" with 0%

[88] "Other candidate" and Slowinski (L) with 3%; "No one" with 0%

[89] Slowinski (L) with 3%; "Other" with 2%

[90] Slowinski (L) and "Other" with 2%

[91] Would not vote with 1%

[92] Includes "Refused"

[93] Slowinski (L) with 3%; "Other candidate" with 1%

[94] "Other Democratic Candidate" with 3%; "Another Third Party/Write-in" and "Other Republican Candidate" with 1%

[95] Would not vote with 1%; "Other candidate" with 0%

[96] With voters who lean towards a given candidate

[97] Johnson-Shealey (D) with 5%; Bartell (I), Dien Winfield (D) and Johnson (R) with 2%; "One of the other candidates" and would not vote with 1%

[98] Slowinski (L) with 5%; Johnson (R) and would not vote with 4%; "Another candidate/still undecided" with 3%; Winfield (D) with 2%

[99] "Some other candidate" with 2%

[100] "Third party candidate" with 1%

[101] "Other candidate" with 5%; Slowinski (L) with 3%

[102] "Other" with 4%; Slowinski (L) with 2%

[103] "Other" with 4%; Slowinski (L) with 2%

[104] "Someone else" with 2%

[105] "Other" with 3%; would not vote with 2%

[106] "Someone else" with 4%

[107] All other candidates with 5% or less

[108] "Another candidate who qualified to run but isn't listed" with 2%

[109] Bartell (I) with 2%; Slowinski (L) with 1%; "someone else" with 1%

[110] Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight

[111] Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight

[112] Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight

[113] Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight

[114] Johnson (R) with 4%; Winfield (D) with 3%; Bartell (I) with 2%; "refused" with 0%

[115] Democratic candidates have 31% of the vote combined

[116] Bartell with 5%; Johnson (R) with 2%

[140] Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.

[141] "Someone else" with 9%

[142] Includes "Refused"

[143] "Someone else" with 0%

[144] "Someone else" with 8%

[145] "Someone else" with 18%

[146] Likely Republican primary voters, though there is no exclusively Republican primary for Georgia's special election

[147] "Someone else" with 17%

[148] "Someone else" with 18%

[149] "Someone else" with 20%

[150] "Someone else" with 13%

[151] "Someone else" with 7%

[152] "Someone else" with 8%

[153] "Someone else" with 5%

[154] Includes "Refused"

[155] "Someone else" with 0%

[156] "Someone else" with 4%

[157] "Someone else" with 6%

[158] Listed as "other/undecided"

[159] Likely Republican primary voters, though there is no exclusively Republican primary for Georgia's special election

[160] Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[161] Likely Republican primary voters, though there is no exclusively Republican primary for Georgia's special election

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Related	Gerrymandering Postal voting Russian interference Voter suppression

2020–21 United States Senate special election in Georgia

Contents

Background[edit source | edit]

Candidates[edit source | edit]

Democratic Party[edit source | edit]

Advanced to runoff[edit source | edit]

Eliminated[edit source | edit]

Declined[edit source | edit]

Republican Party[edit source | edit]

Advanced to runoff[edit source | edit]

Eliminated[edit source | edit]

Withdrawn[edit source | edit]

Declined[edit source | edit]

Libertarian Party[edit source | edit]

Declared[edit source | edit]

Green Party[edit source | edit]

Declared[edit source | edit]

Independents[edit source | edit]

Declared[edit source | edit]

Special election[edit source | edit]

Polling[edit source | edit]

Jungle primary[edit source | edit]

Predictions[edit source | edit]

Results[edit source | edit]

Runoff[edit source | edit]

Polling[edit source | edit]

Aggregate polls[edit source | edit]

Results[edit source | edit]

Election-related lawsuits[edit source | edit]

See also[edit source | edit]

Notes[edit source | edit]

References[edit source | edit]

Further reading[edit source | edit]

External links[edit source | edit]

Navigation menu

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