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2020 Polish presidential election

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2020 Polish presidential election

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  Prezydent Rzeczypospolitej Polskiej Andrzej Duda.jpg
Kidawa-Błońska 30 November 2019 03.jpg
Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz Sejm 2016.JPG
Nominee Andrzej Duda Małgorzata Kidawa-Błońska Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz
Party Independent[nb 1] Civic Platform Polish People's Party
Alliance United Right Civic Coalition Polish Coalition

 
JKRUK 20190219 ROBERT BIEDROŃ KIELCE DSCN2269 (cropped).jpg
Krzysztof Bosak Sejm 2016.jpg
Hołownia Szymon.jpg
Nominee Robert Biedroń Krzysztof Bosak Szymon Hołownia
Party Spring (political party) National Movement Independent
Alliance The Left Confederation Liberty and Independence

Incumbent President

Andrzej Duda
Independent (politician)



Presidential elections are set to be held in Poland in 2020. Originally scheduled to be held on 10 May 2020, on 6 May the Agreement party (which was opposed to the elections being held on 10 May) reached an agreement with Law and Justice to set a new date for the elections. The following day, the National Electoral Commission (PKW) confirmed that the election wouldn't take place on 10 May.[1]

Incumbent president Andrzej Duda is eligible for reelection.

Electoral system[edit source | edit]

The President of Poland is directly elected using the two-round system for a five-year term, with re-election being allowed only once. Andrzej Duda's first term will expire on 6 August 2020, and the president-elect will take oath of office on that day, before the National Assembly (a joint session of the Sejm and Senate).

Pursuant to the provisions of the Constitution, the president must be elected by an absolute majority of valid votes; if no candidate succeeds in passing this threshold, a second round of voting is held with the two candidates who received the largest and second largest number of votes, respectively.

In order to be registered to contest the election, a candidate must be a Polish citizen, at least 35 years old on the day of the first round of the election, and have collected at least 100,000 voters' signatures by 26 March 2020 at midnight.

COVID-19, election timing, and controversy[edit source | edit]

During the COVID-19 pandemic many candidates,[2] constitutionalists[3], and even politicians from the ruling coalition[4] criticized the government's plan of holding the election as originally scheduled during the pandemic. The political party Agreement proposed lengthening the president's term by 2 years, which was supported by the Minister of Health, Łukasz Szumowski.[5] This was rejected by the opposition. The main opposition party, Civic Platform, wanted the election to be held in May 2021[6]. The ruling, conservative party Law and Justice, also wished to change the electoral rules[7] and to organise elections by only allowing postal voting. Changing elections rules in a shorter period of time than 6 months before voting, as well as voting only by post is considered unconstitutional by some including Polish Supreme Court in a non binding opinion. [8][9][10]

Email requests by Poczta Polska for private data[edit source | edit]

At 02:26 early in the morning[11][12] on 23 April, every Polish mayor and city council president[13][14] received an anonymous, unsigned[15] e-mail from Poczta Polska (Polish Post) saying that they were required to deliver the private data of 30 million Polish citizens including their PESEL (national identification number), date of birth, address, and other private data in a .txt file format lacking any passwords or security.[16] Many Polish mayors and city council presidents[17], lawyers, and other citizens[18] criticized the order to provide such private data, stating that the order violated the GDPR and Polish Law, since the legal act referred to in the email had no legal validity; it concerned a bill that was still undergoing legislative procedures. Citizens and other officials stated their intention to file a lawsuit[11][12][13] to the prosecutor's office about the possibility of crimes being committed by the government-run Poczta Polska and by the politicians responsible for the regulation.[13]

Electoral cards leakage[edit source | edit]

On 29 April 2020, 11 days before the planned election date, election candidate Stanisław Żółtek presented a copy of electoral ballot at a press conference.[19][20] The copies contained the names of all the candidates and other forms to be filled by voters. Żółtek said that he received the ballots from workers of one of the companies that was printing and preparing electoral documents. Poczta Polska notified the Internal Security Agency about the leak. As of 2 May 2020, Polish law did not authorise Poczta Polska to organise postal voting except in a small number of special cases.[19]

Presidential Election Boycott[edit source | edit]

On 30 April 2020, nine former Polish Presidents and Prime Ministers called for a boycott of 2020 Presidential Elections, on the grounds that the election would be unconstitutional and could not guarantee the confidentiality of voters.[21][22]

Election Day Moved[edit source | edit]

On 6 May, Jarosław Gowin, the leader of Agreement, and Jarosław Kaczyński, the leader of Law and Justice struck an agreement to move the elections.[23] The two parties had earlier been engaged in a political struggle over whether the elections should proceed in May.[24]

On 7 May, the Sejm approved legislation for the election to be held via postal ballot.[25] That same day, PKW announced that "The current legal regulation deprived the National Electoral Commission of the instruments necessary to perform its duties. In connection with the above, the National Electoral Commission informs voters, election committees, candidates, election administration and local government units that voting on May 10, 2020 cannot take place."

Candidate selection[edit source | edit]

The following candidates have been nominated by parties represented in the Sejm.

Law and Justice / United Right[edit source | edit]

Incumbent President Andrzej Duda is eligible to run for a second term. His approval ratings are high – in September 2017, his approval rating stood at 71% and in February 2018, at 72%, A record surpassed only by Aleksander Kwaśniewski from 1995 to 2005, whose approval ratings surpassed 75%.[26][27] On 24 October 2019, in an open letter to the elected members of the Sejm and Senate, PiS chairman Jarosław Kaczyński announced that the party will strongly support Andrzej Duda in next year's presidential election.[28]

Nominee:

Independent[nb 2]

Andrzej Duda
President of Poland
(2015–)
Member of European Parliament
(2014–2015)
Member of the Sejm
(2011–2014)

Civic Platform / Civic Coalition[edit source | edit]

Donald Tusk was widely expected to make a comeback in Polish politics and to run for President, all the more so given that his European office expired at the end of 2019.[29][30] However, in November 2019, he announced he would not run for the Polish Presidency, citing that he has “a bag of difficult, unpopular decisions since prime minister” that would burden his candidacy. He is said to have been advised against a run by private opinion polls. He decided to run instead for the leadership of the European People's Party.[31] As a result, party leader Grzegorz Schetyna decided to hold a convention in order to nominate a candidate for president. The primary was won by Małgorzata Kidawa-Błońska.[32][33]

Nominee:

Civic Platform

Małgorzata Kidawa-Błońska
Kidawa-Błońska 30 November 2019 03.jpg
Deputy Marshal of the Sejm
(2015–)
Marshal of the Sejm
(2015)
Member of the Sejm
(2005–)


Declared, but lost at the primary convention:

Declined:

Polish Coalition[edit source | edit]

In December 2019, PSL chairman Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz announced that he will be launching a campaign for president.[38]

Polish People's Party

Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz
Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz Sejm 2016.JPG
Member of the Sejm
(2015–)
Minister of Labour and Social Policy
(2011–2015)

Declined

The Left[edit source | edit]

At the beginning of January 2020, Włodzimierz Czarzasty said that The Left will nominate Robert Biedroń.[40]

Spring

Robert Biedroń
JKRUK 20190219 ROBERT BIEDROŃ KIELCE DSCN2269 (cropped).jpg
Member of European Parliament
(2019–)
Mayor of Słupsk
(2014–2018)
Member of the Sejm
(2011–2014)

Declined

Confederation Liberty and Independence[edit source | edit]

The party held an open primary, a first in Polish politics. The 2019–20 Confederation presidential primary is modeled on the US style, with various rounds. Krzysztof Bosak was nominated during the final round of voting held at the convention in Warsaw on 18 January.

Nominee:

National Movement

Krzysztof Bosak
Krzysztof Bosak Sejm 2016.jpg
Member of the Sejm
(2005–2007, 2019–)

Declared, but lost in the primary election: [42]

Other candidates[edit source | edit]

These are candidates who collected 100,000 signatures supporting their candidacy but are not supported by parties currently in the Sejm:

Rejected candidates[edit source | edit]

These are candidates who failed to submit 100,000 signatures supporting their run by the March 26th deadline:

  • Zbigniew Adamczyk – Chairman of the Slavic Union
  • Piotr Bakun – Economist
  • Adam Bednarczyk – Activist in the Polish Nation Organization – Polish League
  • Marcin Bugajski – Political scientist
  • Roland Dubowski – President of the Association of Heirs of Polish War Veterans of the Second World War
  • Jolanta Duda – Businesswoman
  • Artur Głowacki – Businessman
  • Sławomir Grzywa – Leader of "Sami Swoi" ("All Good Friends")
  • Maria Leśniak-Wojciechowska – Political activist
  • Wiesław Lewicki – Chairman of "Normalny Kraj" ("Normal Country")
  • Dariusz Łaska – Political activist
  • Łukasz Malczyk – Chairman of the Union of Polish Entrepreneurs
  • Wojciech Mateńka – Candidate of "Patriotic Poland"
  • Andrzej Olszewski – Political activist
  • Marek Olszewski – Candidate of the ROP
  • Bogdan Pawłowski – Businessman
  • Andrzej Dariusz Placzyński – Businessman
  • Wojciech Podjacki – Chairman of the "League of Defense of Sovereignty"
  • Jan Zbigniew Potocki – Self-declared President
  • Kajetan Pyrzyński – Pensioner rights activist
  • Leszek Samborski – Former Member of the Sejm
  • Grzegorz Sowa – Businessman associated with 1Polska.pl
  • Romuald Starosielec – Journalist supported by "Unity of the Nation"
  • Paweł Świtoń – Businessman
  • Krzysztof Urbanowicz – Political activist
  • Andrzej Voigt – Businessman
  • Jerzy Walkowiak – Political activist
  • Zbigniew Wesołowski – Leader of the "World Movement of Poles and Polonia"
  • Waldemar Witkowski – Former Deputy Voivode and Chairman of the UP
  • Piotr Wroński – Colonel in the Agencja Wywiadu

Opinion polls[edit source | edit]

Survey graph (7.05.20)

First round[edit source | edit]

Poll source Date(s) administered Don't know/
Abstain
Others style="background:Template:Law and Justice/meta/color;" | style="background:Template:Civic Platform/meta/color;" | style="background:Template:Polish People's Party/meta/color;" | style="background:Template:Confederation Liberty and Independence/meta/color;" |
Duda
IN
Kidawa-Błońska
PO
Biedroń
LEFT
Kosiniak-Kamysz
PSL
Bosak
KWiN
Hołownia
IN
Pollster 30 April-4 May 2020 - - 40.57% 10.49% 9.56% 14.39% 4.65% 20.34%
IPSOS 27-29 April 2020[lower-alpha 1] 11% - 42% 7% 6% 12% 6% 15%
IPSOS 27-29 April 2020[lower-alpha 2] 5% - 63% 2% 5% 7% 7% 11%
IBRiS 27 April 2020 8.9% - 49.7% 6.7% 6.4% 14.1% 5.0% 9.2%
Social Changes 24-27 April 2020[lower-alpha 1] - 1%[lower-alpha 3] 54% 7% 6% 10% 8% 14%
Social Changes 24-27 April 2020[lower-alpha 2] - 1%[lower-alpha 3] 64% 3% 3% 8% 7% 14%
CBOS 23-27 April 2020 10% 1%[lower-alpha 3] 52% 5% 5% 6% 7% 14%
Estymator 23-24 April 2020 - 0.4% 51.7% 8.4% 7.7% 16.6% 6.4% 8.8%
Social Changes 17-20 April 2020[lower-alpha 1] - 1%[lower-alpha 3] 57% 11% 5% 11% 6% 9%
Social Changes 17-20 April 2020[lower-alpha 2] - 2%[lower-alpha 4] 65% 5% 5% 6% 7% 10%
Kantar 16-17 April 2020 11% 3% 59% 4% 5% 7% 5% 7%
Social Changes 10-13 April 2020 - 1%[lower-alpha 3] 59% 9% 5% 10% 8% 8%
Estymator 8-9 April 2020 - 0.3% 53.1% 13.4% 9.4% 15.6% 3.3% 4.9%
IBRiS 7 April 2020 7.1% - 52.9% 11.4% 7.3% 12.6% 3.2% 5.5%
Pollster 6-7 April 2020 - - 44.53% 14.23% 6.70% 15.25% 6.21% 13.08%
Maison & Partners 3-7 April 2020 27.9% - 29.5% 10.5% 7.1% 10.6% 3.4% 11.2%
Social Changes 3-6 April 2020 - 2%[lower-alpha 4] 53% 11% 5% 13% 7% 9%
IBRiS 3-4 April 2020 9.9% - 47.6% 12.4% 6.7% 12.0% 5.4% 6.0%
IBSP 31 March-2 April 2020 - 0.29% 44.29% 15.77% 6.24% 15.87% 5.24% 12.30%
Social Changes 27-30 March 2020 - 1%[lower-alpha 3] 55% 14% 6% 10% 5% 9%
IBRiS 27-28 March 2020[lower-alpha 5] 5.6% - 45.1% 17.2% 8.5% 12.1% 7.5% 3.9%
27-28 March 2020[lower-alpha 6] 5.3% - 54.6% 12.1% 8.7% 6.4% 9.2% 3.7%
Estymator 25-26 March 2020 - 0.9% 49.8% 17.1% 10.8% 15.4% 3.1% 2.9%
Kantar 23-24 March 2020[lower-alpha 7] 6% - 65% 10% 5% 4% 6% 4%
23-24 March 2020[lower-alpha 8] 10% - 44% 19% 7% 8% 5% 7%
Social Changes 20-23 March 2020 - - 47% 19% 10% 11% 6% 7%
United Survey 20 March 2020 16.7% - 42.7% 16.6% 5.7% 8.7% 6.6% 2.9%
Pollster 17-18 March 2020 - - 43.19% 21.13% 9.54% 12.96% 4.44% 8.74%
Social Changes 13-17 March 2020 - - 41% 23% 9% 13% 4% 10%
CBOS 5-15 March 2020 10% - 50% 15% 5% 9% 3% 6%
Estymator 12-13 March 2020 - 0.2% 46.4% 20.4% 11.4% 10.1% 4.6% 6.9%
IBSP 10-13 March 2020 - 0.15% 51.36% 19.79% 7.59% 8.98% 5.51% 6.62%
Kantar 6-11 March 2020 13% - 43% 22% 6% 9% 3% 4%
Social Changes 6-10 March 2020 - - 45% 22% 8% 9% 5% 11%
IBRiS 2 March 2020 5.9% - 41.2% 23.1% 6.1% 11.4% 4.8% 7.6%
Social Changes 28 February-2 March 2020 - - 42% 24% 11% 9% 5% 9%
Estymator 27-28 February 2020 - 0.1% 44.8% 24.4% 9.7% 10.4% 4.9% 5.7%
Indicator 26-28 February 2020 4.3% 1.2% 42.9% 23.3% 9.3% 8.1% 3.7% 7.2%
Pollster 24-26 February 2020 - - 42.44% 22.14% 9.45% 11.71% 4.92% 9.34%
Social Changes 21-24 February 2020 - - 43% 24% 10% 7% 5% 11%
United Survey 22 February 2020 5.8% - 41.9% 22.2% 8.2% 10.4% 4.1% 7.4%
IPSOS 20-22 February 2020 6% - 41% 25% 9% 7% 5% 7%
IBSP 18-20 February 2020 - 0.58% 45.16% 26.42% 8.78% 6.56% 4.44% 8.06%
Social Changes 14-18 February 2020 - - 40% 25% 9% 9% 5% 12%
CBOS 6-16 February 2020 12% 3% 50% 20% 4% 5% 1% 5%
Dobra Opinia 10-14 February 2020 - - 41.34% 24.02% 11.21% 8.11% 5.31% 10.01%
Estymator 12-13 February 2020 - 0.2% 45.3% 26.4% 7.4% 10.1% 4.7% 5.9%
Kantar 7-12 February 2020 17% 1% 40% 21% 7% 5% 3% 6%
Social Changes 7-11 February 2020 - - 46% 24% 9% 7% 5% 9%
IBRiS 7-8 February 2020 4.3% - 43.7% 29.2% 6.9% 4.0% 3.8% 8.1%
IBRiS - 8.2% - 41.7% 26.3% 7.7% 5.2% 4.6% 6.3%
Social Changes 1-4 February 2020 - 2%[lower-alpha 9] 42% 25% 10% 6% 3% 12%
Kantar 29-30 January 2020 7% 1% 44% 24% 8% 4% 3% 9%
Maison & Partners 24-28 January 2020 10.0% - 38.3% 22.3% 9.0% 6.3% 3.2% 10.9%
Social Changes 24-27 January 2020 - 2%[lower-alpha 10] 43% 24% 10% 7% 4% 10%
Estymator 23-24 January 2020 - 0.4% 47.1% 24.1% 8.9% 9.3% 4.6% 5.6%
Social Changes 17-21 January 2020 - - 44% 24% 8% 9% 4% 11%
Kantar 9-15 January 2020 22% 2% 38% 20% 7% 4% 1% 6%
IBSP 14-16 January 2020 - - 43.73% 26.61% 7.26% 7.77% 5.07% 9.56%
Pollster 14-16 January 2020 - - 44.96% 23.11% 9.09% 7.86% 5.12% 9.86%
Social Changes 10-14 January 2020 - - 45% 22% 9% 8% 3% 13%
United Survey 10-11 January 2020 7.4% - 43.0% 23.3% 7.3% 7.0% 5.3% 6.7%
IBRiS 10-11 January 2020 8.2% - 44% 23.3% 6.6% 7.0% 5.1% 5.7%
Estymator 9-10 January - - 47.7% 22.7% 8.8% 9% 4.3% 6.9%
Social Changes 3-7 January 2020 - 6%[lower-alpha 11] 42% 26% - 9% 4% 13%
Social Changes 27-31 December 2019 - 5%[lower-alpha 12] 43% 26% - 6% 4% 16%
Social Changes 20-24 December 2019 - 7%[lower-alpha 13] 43% 24% - 9% 4% 13%
Estymator 19–20 December 2019 - 8.3%[lower-alpha 14] 46.6% 22.4% - 9.2% 4.6% 7.9%
IBSP 17–20 December 2019 - 7.4%[lower-alpha 15] 43.9% 26.3% - 7.3% 5.4% 9.7%
Social Changes 13-17 December 2019 - 7%[lower-alpha 16] 46% 23% - 7% 4% 13%
Social Changes 28 November-3 December 2019 14% 11%[lower-alpha 17] 37% 22% - 8% - 8%


Hypothetical opinion polls[edit source | edit]

Poll source Date(s) administered Don't know/
Abstain
Others style="background:Template:Law and Justice/meta/color;" | style="background:Template:Law and Justice/meta/color;" | style="background:Template:Civic Platform/meta/color;" | style="background:Template:Civic Platform/meta/color;" | style="background:Template:Modern/meta/color;" | style="background:Template:Modern/meta/color;" | style="background:Template:Polish People's Party/meta/color;" | style="background:Template:Spring (political party)/meta/color" | style="background:Template:Razem/meta/color" |
Duda
IN
Other
PiS
Tusk
PO
Other
PO
Czarzasty
SLD
Kukiz
K'15
Petru
.N
Lubnauer
.N
Kosiniak-Kamysz
PSL
Biedroń
Wiosna
Zandberg
Razem
Korwin-Mikke
KORWiN
Rzepliński
IN
Nowacka
IN
Social Changes 19–24 July 2019 - 1.9%[lower-alpha 18] 45% - 21% 6.9%[lower-alpha 19] - 6.7% - - 4.3% 8.2% - 3.4% - 2.7%
Kantar Public 16–19 May 2019 2% - 41% - 27% - - 7% - - 6% 11% 1% 5% - -
Kantar Public 8–10 May 2019 8% - 41% - 28% - - 7% - - 5% 6% 1% 4% - -
IBSP 7–9 May 2019 - 0.4% 43.7% - 34.7% - 1.3% 5.2% - - 6.3% 6.9% - 1.4% - -
Pollster 4–6 April 2019 - - 38% - 27% - 1% 6% - 0% 5% 16% 2% 5% - -
Ariadna 22–26 February 2019 24% - 34% - 20% - - 6% - - 1% 12% 1% - - 2%
IBSP 31 January-6 February 2019 3.0% - 38.8% - 37.8% - 0.7% 2.2% - - 6.1% 8.9% - 2.4% - -
IBRiS 13 November 2018 9% - 37% - 36% - - 4% - - 3% 10% - 1% - -
Ariadna 17–21 August 2018 14% 34% 7%[lower-alpha 20] 21% - - 6% - - 1% 14% 1% 2% - -
Pollster 11–12 July 2018 - 19% 32% - 21% - - 7% - - - 17% - 4% - -
Millward Brown 25–26 April 2018 6% 4% 44% - 24% - - 4% - - 2% 15% 1% - - -
Pollster 5 April 2018 - 4%[lower-alpha 21] 36% - 26% - - 7% - 3% 2% 19% - 3% - -
IBRiS 4 April 2018 9.3% - 33.5% - 33.0% - - 6.8% - - 3.0% 11.4% 1.3% 1.7% - -
Pollster 3–5 January 2018 - - 39% - 21% - 1% 9% - 2% 3% 15% 3% 4% - 3%
Ariadna 29 September-2 October 2017 14.3% - 42.7% - 17.1% - 0.4% 9.6% - - 0.9% 12.7% 1.0% - - 1.3%
Pollster 16–17 August 2017 - - 39% 6% [lower-alpha 22] 31% 1% [lower-alpha 23] 3% 7% 2% - 3% - 3% 5% - -
Ariadna 28–31 July 2017 14% - 37% - 23% - 0% 7% - - 2% 14% 2% - - 1%
IBRiS 26–27 July 2017 9.9% 1.2%[lower-alpha 24] 36.2% - 20.5% - - 7.7% 1.5% - 4.1% 16.3% - 2.6% - -
Ariadna 23–26 June 2017 14% - 35% - 23% - 2% 11% - - 4% 9% 1% - - 1%
Ariadna 9–12 June 2017 14% - 32% - 27% - 1% 9% - - 1% 12% 1% - - 3%
21% - 34% - - 8% 1% 8% - - 4% 17% 2% - - 5%
Ariadna 12–16 May 2017 15.4% - 31.9% - 26.9% - - 8% - - - 17.8% - - - -
Kantar Public 26–27 April 2017 10% 1% 38% - 31% - - 12% - - - 8% - - - -
Dobra Opinia 30 March-3 April 2017 - - 37.4% - 25.8% - - 9.5% 7.9% - 4.8% 11.1% - 3.5% - -
Pollster 7–8 March 2017 - 8% 45% - 25% 4%[lower-alpha 25] 5% 2% - - 8% - 3% - -
Pollster 2–3 January 2017 - 17.18% 41.23% 2.19%[lower-alpha 26] 11.55% 4.37%[lower-alpha 27] - 7.36% 7.89% - - 2.62% 0.44% 3.93% 1.27% -
IPSOS 19–21 December 2016 16% 1% 36% 1% 18% 1%[lower-alpha 28] 5% 8% - - 8% 1% - - -
Pollster 5–8 February 2016 - 9% 38% - 16%[lower-alpha 29] - 14% 17% - 3% - - - - -
Presidential election 10 May 2015 - 7.3% 34.8% - - 33.8%[lower-alpha 30] - 20.8% - - - - - 3.3% - -

Second round[edit source | edit]

Duda v. Kidawa-Błońska[edit source | edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
bgcolor="Template:Law and Justice/meta/color" | bgcolor="Template:Civic Platform/meta/color" | Undecided/would not vote
Duda
IN
Kidawa-Błońska
PO
Kantar 16-17 April 2020 69% 21% 10%
Social Changes 10-13 April 2020 62% 25% 13%
Maison & Partners 3-7 April 2020 38% 37% 25%
Social Changes 3-6 April 2020 57% 29% 14%
Social Changes 27-30 March 2020 58% 30% 12%
Kantar 23-24 March 2020[lower-alpha 8] 53% 39% 8%
Social Changes 20-23 March 2020 51% 38% 11%
United Survey 20 March 2020 55.6% 35.9% 8.5%
IBSP 10-13 March 2020 55.88% 44.12% -
Kantar 6-11 March 2020 48% 38% 14%
Social Changes 6-10 March 2020 48% 38% 14%
Social Changes 28 February-2 March 2020 44% 43% 13%
Indicator 26-28 February 2020 53.9% 46.1% -
Pollster 24-26 February 2020 53.83% 46.17% -
Social Changes 21-24 February 2020 46% 42% 12%
United Survey 22 February 2020 49.6% 41.6% 8.8%
IPSOS 20-22 February 2020 48% 46% 6%
IBSP 18-20 February 2020 51.62% 48.38% -
Social Changes 14-18 February 2020 45% 43% 12%
CBOS 6-16 February 2020 54% 29% 17%
Dobra Opinia 10-14 February 2020 50.3% 49.7% -
Kantar 7-12 February 2020 49% 37% 14%
Social Changes 7-11 February 2020 48% 41% 11%
Social Changes 1-4 February 2020 46% 42% 12%
Maison & Partners 24-28 January 2020 49% 42% 9%
Social Changes 24-27 January 2020 47% 40% 13%
Social Changes 17-21 January 2020 45% 39% 16%
IBSP 14-16 January 2020 50.09% 49.91% -
Social Changes 10-14 January 2020 47% 38% 15%
United Survey 10-11 January 2020 47.8% 40.8% 11.4%
Social Changes 3-7 January 2020 45% 42% 13%
Social Changes 27-31 December 2019 45% 42% 13%
Pollster 20-22 December 2019 54.14% 45.86% -
IBSP 17-20 December 2019 50.67% 49.33% -
Social Changes 28 November-3 December 2019 46% 39% 15%

Duda v. Kosiniak-Kamysz[edit source | edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
bgcolor="Template:Law and Justice/meta/color" | bgcolor="Template:Polish People's Party/meta/color" | Undecided/would not vote
Duda
IN
Kosiniak-Kamysz
PSL
Kantar 16-17 April 2020 66% 22% 12%
Social Changes 10-13 April 2020 60% 28% 12%
Maison & Partners 3-7 April 2020 35% 41% 24%
Social Changes 3-6 April 2020 56% 34% 10%
Social Changes 27-30 March 2020 56% 34% 10%
Social Changes 20-23 March 2020 49% 39% 12%
United Survey 20 March 2020 49.2% 36.6% 14.2%
IBSP 10-13 March 2020 54.91% 45.09% -
Kantar 6-11 March 2020 47% 35% 18%
Social Changes 6-10 March 2020 48% 41% 11%
Social Changes 28 February-2 March 2020 43% 42% 15%
Indicator 26-28 February 2020 53.1% 46.9% -
Social Changes 21-24 February 2020 47% 40% 13%
United Survey 22 February 2020 43.9% 45.9% 10.3%
IPSOS 20-22 February 2020 47% 45% 8%
IBSP 18-20 February 2020 52.23% 47.77% -
Social Changes 14-18 February 2020 42% 39% 19%
CBOS 6-16 February 2020 54% 31% 15%
Dobra Opinia 10-14 February 2020 50.8% 49.2% -
Social Changes 7-11 February 2020 48% 40% 12%
Social Changes 1-4 February 2020 45% 39% 16%
Maison & Partners 24-28 January 2020 47% 41% 12%
Social Changes 24-27 January 2020 46% 38% 16%
Social Changes 17-21 January 2020 45% 39% 16%
Social Changes 10-14 January 2020 48% 36% 16%
United Survey 10-11 January 2020 49.1% 36.0% 14.8%
Social Changes 3-7 January 2020 45% 39% 16%
Social Changes 27-31 December 2019 46% 34% 20%
Social Changes 28 November-3 December 2019 46% 34% 20%

Duda v. Biedroń[edit source | edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
bgcolor="Template:Law and Justice/meta/color" | Undecided/would not vote
Duda
IN
Biedroń
LEFT
Kantar 16-17 April 2020 66% 23% 11%
Social Changes 10-13 April 2020 62% 24% 14%
Social Changes 3-6 April 2020 60% 27% 13%
Social Changes 27-30 March 2020 58% 30% 12%
Social Changes 20-23 March 2020 50% 37% 13%
Kantar 6-11 March 2020 48% 31% 21%
Social Changes 6-10 March 2020 51% 35% 14%
Social Changes 28 February-2 March 2020 47% 39% 14%
Indicator 26-28 February 2020 55.1% 44.9% -
Social Changes 21-24 February 2020 49% 36% 15%
IPSOS 20-22 February 2020 51% 41% 8%
IBSP 18-20 February 2020 54.64% 45.36% -
Social Changes 14-18 February 2020 47% 38% 15%
CBOS 6-16 February 2020 56% 27% 17%
Dobra Opinia 10-14 February 2020 57% 43% -
Kantar 7-12 February 2020 48% 33% 19%
Social Changes 7-11 February 2020 49% 36% 15%
Social Changes 1-4 February 2020 48% 37% 15%
Social Changes 24-27 January 2020 48% 37% 15%
Social Changes 17-21 January 2020 47% 35% 18%
Social Changes 10-14 January 2020 48% 34% 18%
United Survey 10-11 January 2020 54.1% 31.0% 14.8%
IBRiS 13 November 2018 49% 41% 10%
Millward Brown 25–26 April 2018 58% 40% 2%
IBRiS 14–15 October 2017 51.4% 35.1% 13.5%
Ariadna 28–31 July 2017 51% 32% 17%
Ariadna 12–16 May 2017 47% 31% 22%
Ariadna 12–16 May 2017 28.3% 28.1% 43.6%[lower-alpha 31]
IPSOS 17–19 March 2017 46.9% 34.6% 18.4%
Millward Brown 20–22 May 2016 49% 32% 19%

Duda v. Hołownia[edit source | edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
bgcolor="Template:Law and Justice/meta/color" | Undecided/would not vote
Duda
IN
Hołownia
IN
Kantar 16-17 April 2020 69% 23% 8%
Social Changes 10-13 April 2020 61% 28% 11%
Maison & Partners 3-7 April 2020 34% 43% 23%
Social Changes 3-6 April 2020 55% 31% 14%
Social Changes 27-30 March 2020 57% 32% 11%
Social Changes 20-23 March 2020 49% 38% 13%
Kantar 6-11 March 2020 46% 30% 24%
Social Changes 6-10 March 2020 46% 41% 13%
Social Changes 28 February-2 March 2020 43% 42% 15%
Indicator 26-28 February 2020 53.2% 46.8% -
Pollster 24-26 February 2020 51.99% 48.01% -
Social Changes 21-24 February 2020 44% 42% 14%
IPSOS 20-22 February 2020 47% 45% 8%
IBSP 18-20 February 2020 52.08% 47.92% -
Social Changes 14-18 February 2020 44% 42% 14%
CBOS 6-16 February 2020 54% 27% 19%
Dobra Opinia 10-14 February 2020 50.4% 49.6% -
Kantar 7-12 February 2020 47% 36% 17%
Social Changes 7-11 February 2020 48% 39% 13%
Social Changes 1-4 February 2020 44% 42% 14%
Maison & Partners 24-28 January 2020 44% 43% 13%
Social Changes 24-27 January 2020 46% 38% 16%
Social Changes 17-21 January 2020 45% 37% 18%
Social Changes 10-14 January 2020 47% 38% 15%
United Survey 10-11 January 2020 51.4% 31.2% 17.4%
Social Changes 3-7 January 2020 44% 41% 15%
Social Changes 27-31 December 2019 42% 41% 17%

Duda v. Bosak[edit source | edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
bgcolor="Template:Law and Justice/meta/color" | bgcolor="Template:Confederation Liberty and Independence/meta/color" | Undecided/would not vote
Duda
IN
Bosak
KWiN
Social Changes 10-13 April 2020 61% 26% 13%
Social Changes 3-6 April 2020 55% 23% 22%
Social Changes 27-30 March 2020 56% 23% 21%
Social Changes 20-23 March 2020 52% 24% 24%
Social Changes 6-10 March 2020 49% 23% 28%
Social Changes 28 February-2 March 2020 47% 25% 28%
Indicator 26-28 February 2020 61.9% 38.1% -
Social Changes 21-24 February 2020 49% 24% 27%
Social Changes 14-18 February 2020 45% 24% 31%
CBOS 6-16 February 2020 56% 13% 31%
Dobra Opinia 10-14 February 2020 74.5% 25.5% -
Social Changes 7-11 February 2020 52% 23% 25%
Social Changes 1-4 February 2020 47% 22% 31%

Hypothetical second round[edit source | edit]

Duda v. Tusk[edit source | edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
bgcolor="Template:Law and Justice/meta/color" | bgcolor="Template:Civic Platform/meta/color" | Undecided/would not vote
Duda
IN
Tusk
PO
Kantar Public 16–19 May 2019 55% 44% 1%
Kantar Public 8–10 May 2019 56% 40% 4%
IBSP 7–9 May 2019 48.4% 47.3% 4.3%
Ariadna 22–26 February 2019 46% 36% 18%
IBSP 31 January-6 February 2019 45.3% 52.9% 1.8%
Millward Brown 19–20 November 2018 50% 45% 5%
IBRiS 13 November 2018 46% 44% 10%
Pollster 9–10 August 2018 51% 49% -
IBRiS 26–27 July 2018 50% 45% 5%
Pollster 13–14 June 2018 52.5% 47.5% -
Millward Brown 25–26 April 2018 53% 44% 3%
Kantar Public 20–21 November 2017 48% 27% 25%
IBRiS 14–15 October 2017 49.4% 37.8% 12.8%
Ariadna 29 September-2 October 2017 47.5% 36.0% 16.5%
Pollster 20–21 September 2017 47% 53% -
Ariadna 28–31 July 2017 45% 41% 14%
Millward Brown 11–12 July 2017 52% 44% 4%
Pollster 30 June-4 July 2017 52% 48% -
Ariadna 23–26 June 2017 45% 38% 17%
IPSOS 19–21 June 2017 49.9% 37.2% 13%
Ariadna 12–16 May 2017 33% 33.8% 33.2%
Ariadna 12–16 May 2017 30.8% 27.4% 41.8%[lower-alpha 32]
Millward Brown 24–25 April 2017 45% 50% 5%
Pollster 20–21 April 2017 39% 49% 12%
IPSOS 17–19 March 2017 43.7% 43.9% 12.4%
Millward Brown 5 October 2016 49% 45% 6%
Millward Brown 20–22 May 2016 47% 41% 12%

Duda v. Kukiz[edit source | edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
bgcolor="Template:Law and Justice/meta/color" | Undecided/would not vote
Duda
IN
Kukiz
K'15
Ariadna 12–16 May 2017 26.4% 16.3% 57.3%[lower-alpha 33]
IPSOS 17–19 March 2017 44.9% 26.7% 28.4%
Millward Brown 20–22 May 2016 44% 26% 30%

Duda v. Petru[edit source | edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
bgcolor="Template:Law and Justice/meta/color" | bgcolor="Template:Modern (political party)/meta/color" | Undecided/would not vote
Duda
IN
Petru
.N
Millward Brown 20–22 May 2016 47% 41% 12%

Duda v. Schetyna[edit source | edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
bgcolor="Template:Law and Justice/meta/color" | bgcolor="Template:Civic Platform/meta/color" | Undecided/would not vote
Duda
IN
Schetyna
PO
Millward Brown 20–22 May 2016 48% 33% 19%

Duda v. Trzaskowski[edit source | edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
bgcolor="Template:Law and Justice/meta/color" | bgcolor="Template:Civic Platform/meta/color" | Undecided/would not vote
Duda
IN
Trzaskowski
PO
IBSP 31 January-6 February 2019 47.9% 49.3% 2.8%

Duda v. Nowacka[edit source | edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
bgcolor="Template:Law and Justice/meta/color" | bgcolor="Template:Your Movement/meta/color" | Undecided/would not vote
Duda
IN
Nowacka
TR
Millward Brown 20–22 May 2016 50% 30% 20%

Kaczyński v. Tusk[edit source | edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
bgcolor="Template:Law and Justice/meta/color" | bgcolor="Template:Civic Platform/meta/color" | Undecided/would not vote
Kaczyński
PiS
Tusk
PO
Pollster 9–10 August 2018 35% 65% -
IBRiS 26–27 July 2018 41% 50% 9%

Notes[edit source | edit]

  1. The President of Poland traditionally resigns from party membership after taking office. Although Duda was officially an independent, his campaign was endorsed and funded by Law and Justice.
  2. The President of Poland traditionally resigns from party membership after taking office. Duda is officially an independent but his campaign is being endorsed and funded by Law and Justice.
  1. 1.0 1.1 1.2 The poll measures voting intention in case voting in person at polling stations is conducted.
  2. 2.0 2.1 2.2 The poll measures voting intention in case all-postal voting is conducted.
  3. 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 Includes: 1% – Marek Jakubiak.
  4. 4.0 4.1 Includes: 2% – Marek Jakubiak.
  5. The poll measures voting intention in case the election is held during the polling period.
  6. The poll measures voting intention in case the election is held on 10 May 2020.
  7. The poll measures voting intention in case the election is held during the coronavirus pandemic.
  8. 8.0 8.1 The poll measures voting intention in case the election is held after the end of the coronavirus pandemic.
  9. Includes: 2% – Piotr Liroy-Marzec.
  10. Includes: 2% – Piotr Liroy-Marzec.
  11. Includes: 6% – Adrian Zandberg.
  12. Includes: 5% – Adrian Zandberg.
  13. Includes: 7% – Adrian Zandberg.
  14. Includes: 8.3% – Adrian Zandberg.
  15. Includes: 7.2% – Adrian Zandberg.
  16. Includes: 7% – Adrian Zandberg.
  17. Includes: 7% – Adrian Zandberg, 4% – Grzegorz Braun.
  18. Includes: 1.9% – Grzegorz Braun.
  19. Includes: 5.2% – Rafał Trzaskowski, 1.7% – Bartosz Arłukowicz.
  20. Includes: 5% – Mateusz Morawiecki, 1% – Jarosław Kaczyński, 1% – Zbigniew Ziobro.
  21. Includes: 4% – Monika Jaruzelska.
  22. Includes: 6% – Beata Szydło
  23. Includes: 1% – Grzegorz Schetyna
  24. Includes: 1.2% – Marian Kowalski.
  25. Includes: 4% – Bronisław Komorowski
  26. Includes: 1.60% – Beata Szydło, 0.59% – Jarosław Kaczyński
  27. Includes: 3.96% – Bronisław Komorowski, 0.24% – Grzegorz Schetyna, 0.17% – Ewa Kopacz
  28. Includes: 1% – Grzegorz Schetyna
  29. Includes: 3% – Grzegorz Schetyna
  30. Bronisław Komorowski
  31. 13.8% undecided, 29.8% would not vote
  32. 17.3% undecided, 24.5% would not vote
  33. 16.7% undecided, 40.6% would not vote

References[edit source | edit]

  1. "Statement of the National Electoral Commission of May 7, 2020)". Twitter. 7 May 2020. Archived from the original on 7 May 2020. CS1 maint: discouraged parameter (link)
  2. "Małgorzata Kidawa-Błońska: To nie jest czas na kampanię i wybory". onet.pl (polish). 23 March 2020. Archived from the original on 18 April 2020. Retrieved 18 April 2020.
  3. "Prof. Chmaj: Dziś nie da się przeprowadzić wyborów bezpiecznych dla obywateli". wyborcza.pl (polish). 18 March 2020. Archived from the original on 18 April 2020. Retrieved 18 April 2020.
  4. Anna Koper, Marcin Goclowski (3 April 2020). "Spat over presidential election tests Poland's ruling coalition". REUTERS. Archived from the original on 18 April 2020. Retrieved 18 April 2020.
  5. "Szumowski o przedłużeniu kadencji prezydenta: bardzo dobra propozycja". Onet Wiadomości (in Polish). 2020-04-15. Retrieved 2020-04-20.
  6. "Koalicja Obywatelska proponuje wybory prezydenckie za rok". TVN24. Retrieved 2020-04-20.
  7. Mariusz Jałoszewski, Agata Szczęśniak (17 April 2020). "PiS pozbawił uprawnień PKW. Hermeliński: „To woła o pomstę do nieba"". oko.press (polish). Archived from the original on 18 April 2020. Retrieved 18 April 2020.
  8. "USTAWA z dnia 5 stycznia 2011 r. Kodeks wyborczy". sip.lex.pl. 31 March 2020. Archived from the original on 18 April 2020. Retrieved 18 April 2020.
  9. x-news/TVN24 (29 March 2020). "W. Hermeliński: Zmiany w Kodeksie Wyborczym można wprowadzać najpóźniej na 6 miesięcy przed wyborami". dziennikwschodni.pl. Archived from the original on 18 April 2020. Retrieved 18 April 2020.
  10. "Opinia Sądu Najwyższego na temat ustawy o szczególnych zasadach przeprowadzania wyborów powszechnych na Prezydenta Rzeczypospolitej Polskiej zarządzonych w 2020 r." (PDF).
  11. 11.0 11.1 "(Tweet)". Twitter. 23 April 2020. Archived from the original on 23 April 2020. O 2.26 przyszedł anonimowy e-mail o treści którą załączam poniżej. Składam zawiadomienie o możliwości popełnienia przestępstwa do prokuratury... Nie będę uczestniczyć w łamaniu prawa! CS1 maint: discouraged parameter (link)
  12. 12.0 12.1 "(Tweet)". Twitter. 23 April 2020. Archived from the original on 23 April 2020. W środku nocy o godz. 2:26 otrzymaliśmy maila z podpisem "Poczta Polska" z wnioskiem o udostępnienie danych blisko 170 tys. Sosnowiczan. Zgłaszam sprawę do Prokuratory czy nie mamy do czynienia z próbą wyłudzenia danych osobowych. CS1 maint: discouraged parameter (link)
  13. 13.0 13.1 13.2 ""Od rana naradzamy się, co z tym zrobić", "kieruję sprawę do prokuratury". Samorządy o mailach od Poczty Polskiej". TVN24 (polish media). 23 April 2020. Archived from the original on 23 April 2020. CS1 maint: discouraged parameter (link)
  14. "(Tweet)". Twitter. 23 April 2020. Archived from the original on 23 April 2020. Jeżeli nadawcą tych maili, wysłanych o 2 w nocy do burmistrzów i prezydentów miast, rzeczywiście jest #PocztaPolska, a nie hakerzy próbujący wyłudzić dane milionów Polaków, to mówienie o państwie z tektury jest eufemizmem. To jest po prostu skandal! CS1 maint: discouraged parameter (link)
  15. "Truskolaski: Nie znam takiej osoby, która nazywałaby się Poczta Polska". Twitter. 23 April 2020. Archived from the original on 23 April 2020. CS1 maint: discouraged parameter (link)
  16. "Poczta Polska poprosiła gminy o listę nazwisk, adresów i numerów PESEL 30 milionów Polaków w plikach *.txt". Twitter. 23 April 2020. Archived from the original on 23 April 2020. CS1 maint: discouraged parameter (link)
  17. "Komunikat ZMP". Twitter. 23 April 2020. Archived from the original on 23 April 2020. CS1 maint: discouraged parameter (link)
  18. "Coraz rzadziej tu piszę o polityce i prawie, bo ludzie jedynie się wkurzają, przestają być dla siebie mili. Ale dziś warto..." Twitter. 23 April 2020. Archived from the original on 23 April 2020. CS1 maint: discouraged parameter (link)
  19. 19.0 19.1 Patryk Michalski (30 April 2020). "Wyciekł pakiet do głosowania w wyborach kopertowych. Poczta Polska zawiadomiła ABW". Archived from the original on 2 May 2020. CS1 maint: discouraged parameter (link)
  20. Agnieszka Kublik, Wojciech Czuchnowski (30 April 2020). "Wyciek kart do głosowania to prawdziwa kompromitacja pseudowyborów". Archived from the original on 2 May 2020. CS1 maint: discouraged parameter (link)
  21. Joanna Plucinska (30 April 2020). "Former Polish Presidents, PMs Call for Presidential Election Boycott". nytimes.pl. Archived from the original on 2 May 2020. CS1 maint: discouraged parameter (link)
  22. https://dziennikbaltycki.pl/wybory-2020-byli-prezydenci-i-premierzy-zapowiedzieli-bojkot-majowych-wyborow-korespondencyjnych/ar/c15-14946616
  23. "Nie będzie rozłamu w Zjednoczonej Prawicy. Oświadczenie Gowina i Kaczyńskiego". www.msn.com. Retrieved 2020-05-06.
  24. "Jak zagłosuje Porozumienie? Gowin spotkał się z Kaczyńskim, rozłam wśród posłów". www.msn.com. Retrieved 2020-05-06.
  25. Goclowski, Marcin (7 May 2020). "Polish parliament approves postal vote for presidential election". Reuters.
  26. "Sondaż CBOS: Wielki wzrost poparcia dla prezydenta Dudy". dorzeczy.pl. Retrieved 2 March 2018. CS1 maint: discouraged parameter (link)
  27. "Prezydent Duda z największym poparciem". fakt.pl. Retrieved 2 March 2018. CS1 maint: discouraged parameter (link)
  28. "Kaczyński: Zwycięstwo w wyborach trzeba przypieczętować reelekcją Andrzeja Dudy" [Kaczyński: Victory in the elections must be sealed with the re-election of Andrzej Duda]. wiadomosci.wp.pl. 24 October 2019. Retrieved 29 October 2019. CS1 maint: discouraged parameter (link)
  29. "Wybory prezydenckie w 2020 r. Czy Donald Tusk ma szansę wygrać?" [Will Donald Tusk have a chance to win the 2020 presidential elections?]. Parlamentarny.pl. 29 December 2015. Retrieved 28 March 2017. CS1 maint: discouraged parameter (link)
  30. "Schetyna: Marzy mi się, żeby Donald Tusk był kandydatem na prezydenta koalicji rządzącej" ["Schetyna: I dream of Donald Tusk being the ruling coalition's presidential candidate"]. wprost.pl. 2017-04-26. Retrieved 2017-10-07.
  31. Baume, Maïa de La (2019-11-20). "Donald Tusk elected president of European People's Party". POLITICO. Retrieved 2019-11-28.
  32. "Civic Platform's Małgorzata Kidawa-Błońska confirms her 2020 presidential bid". TVN24.pl. Retrieved 2019-11-28.
  33. 33.0 33.1 "Znamy kandydata PO na prezydenta. Do pojedynku z Andrzejem Dudą stanie Małgorzata Kidawa-Błońska". gazetapl (in Polish). Retrieved 2019-12-14.
  34. "Mayor of Poznań Jacek Jaśkowiak to run in Civic Coalition presidential preliminaries". TVN24.pl. Retrieved 2019-11-28.
  35. "Mayor of Warsaw says he's not going to run for president". TVN24.pl. Retrieved 2019-12-02.
  36. "Prawybory prezydenckie w PO. Radosław Sikorski nie wystartuje" ["Presidential primaries in PO. Radosław Sikorski is not going to run"]. PolskieRadio24.pl. Retrieved 2019-11-28.
  37. "Bartosz Arłukowicz nie wystartuje w prawyborach" ["Bartosz Arłukowicz is not going to run in primaries"]. fakty.interia.pl (in Polish). Retrieved 2019-11-28.
  38. Mieśnik, Magda (2019-12-14). "Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz walczy o urząd prezydenta. Ruszył z prekampanią". wiadomosci.wp.pl (in Polish). Retrieved 2019-12-15.
  39. https://wiadomosci.wp.pl/pawel-kukiz-ma-kandydata-na-prezydenta-ale-stawia-warunek-6465074849503361a
  40. "Czarzasty: Zgłoszę Biedronia na kandydata w wyborach prezydenckich". Newsweek.pl (in Polish). Retrieved 2020-01-05.
  41. https://www.wprost.pl/wybory-prezydenckie-2020/10289910/zandberg-wyjasnil-dlaczego-nie-startuje-w-wyborach-prezydenckich-umowilismy-sie.html
  42. "Braun, Bosak, Korwin-Mikke. Konfederacja ogłosiła kandydatów na kandydatów na prezydenta" [Braun, Bosak, Korwin-Mikke. Confederation announced presidential primary candidates.]. rp.pl. Retrieved 30 October 2019. CS1 maint: discouraged parameter (link)

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